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Old 28th November 2012, 09:29 AM
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EnderBoy EnderBoy is offline
Just be the ball.
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 671
Vote Crys

I agree with what a number of other people have been saying. It seems strange that Crys would automatically claim so early and after so little pressure's been exerted. It seems really strange (and coincidental) that his mod PM is word for word what the sample PM was at the beginning of the game.

Do I know he's scum with 100% certainty? No. But I feel it's better than 25% (4 or 5 out of 22) which is all I need for a better than random shot at hitting scum at this stage in the game. I also have to take into account what scum is thinking right now. They're looking for players to pick off and they know with 100% certainty who is scum and who isn't. So they above anyone else would have a strong indication of whether Crys has been truthful in his claim. So even if we lynch Crys and he flips town, we've given scum the least amount of information to work with moving forward. If we lynch someone else who flips town (this time a power role), we not only remove a power role but have made scum's job a bit easier than it was before.