[Askthepizzaguy]

Originally Posted by Silverjan

I wish I had more time in this game and that I could protect both Vanta and Prof. I am scared that there will be 3 Town deaths toNight because I think we will lose.

We are missing a Day 6 because we are down 1 inactive townie, in my guesswork. The Day 6 isn't viable, we can't outvote a scum there, because I dont think SP comes back.

I have BC locked in, I think correctly, as Mariah. The final scum on Elf Shelf couldnt even pretend to be Mariah because town often Duh-yeets someone claiming to be Mariah. (Often... but not always)

So BC's faction has 2 hit points, and he is playing around that fact.

I looked into drawing the kill to himself deliberately, but here is the thing, Mordenkainen was scanned innocent so Mord cannot be the Mariah scum doc.

So I have BC's alignment correct and Mordenkainen's role correct, but not his alignment for sure.

If I knew Mord's alignment for sure, I could say it is always correct to murder X name and Y name.

Because I can't really prove Gnarly isn't the Mariah scum doctor. He was the only other name for that role in my list. Meeko was scanned, Mord was scanned, and SP couldnt do the protection because he has been inactive since d1.

But I had Mordenkainen as a certain team by cold read, and gnarlycharlie as the other team by cold read, due to partner interactions.

The thing is, it banks the entire game on reading those partner interactions correctly, and this game more than any other, scums want to not look partnered.

I can't say with absolute certainty its one way or the other, but gnarly did not look aligned with the dead Elf faction members, and Guiri was interested in killing off people who killed off Archangel.

So was I, and Meeko, and Dizzy the first, but I think all of those are town.

The odd one out is Guiri, who became gnarly.

So I think that makes gnarly Mariah aligned.

I have been calling for gnarly to be scanned by Prof P for a while, but the reaction to that was for BC to try to kill me, and for Gnarly to do nothing except at night.

I thiiiink that means Gnarly cannot be scanned guilty, because Prof would have all the reason in the world to scan him if he does nothing and people are calling for him to be scanned.

You dont want Gnarly to be scanned guilty after BC is the yeet on Day Four.

Thats my analysis which is why I think BC is always the Mariah Scum Doctor specifically, and he isnt trying to draw the murder to himself.

Gnarly would continue to be protected at night if Gnarly is Mariah.

Doing nothing draws the vig a lot, and draws the scan a lot. Gnarly is protected from both, which would explain why he didnt try to affect the outcome during Day, even less than BC did.