#651
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Since he hasnt disclosed anything that will benefit town, then I am more than comfortable with lynching someone who may end up on the scum side. |
#652
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To be clearer about why I don't think Bear is a good lynch, I think it's similar to the following situation:
A guy is about to be lynched on day 1 because he's been saying weird stuff, so he claims being a scanner. Should the townies lynch someone else? I think they do. The scum should attack the scanner quickly because he represents a danger to them, and fair questions would be raised about his role if he's still alive 2 days later. Of course our current situation is different because Bear didn't claim any ability, but the scum don't know how powerful he really is. What if Batman really needs to find him? Lucius Fox could be important after all, are they ready to let him live 2 days on the possibility that he will be lynched on day 3? I think we would be able to make an informed decision about Bear later in the game, if he's still alive. Again, I'm not ready to lynch a claimed Lucius Fox on thread behavior alone, plus from what I've read, Bear's behavior so far is not alien from what you've seen in other games. |
#653
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Once you know your wincon it will not change. |
#654
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Why exactly do we think some players would have to pick a side on Dusk1/Night 1?
I don't see a big difference between picking on Night 0 or Night 1. Why bother to offer that choice after a full day? Was this a scenario in another game? |
#655
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Less than 50% of all players seem to have an oppionion regarding Day End.
It will therefore end Saturday 2010-30-10 10 PM Danish Time. After Day ends (with the lynch) Dusk 1 will last for 24 hours and will be followed by Night 1. Countdown is here (as well as in Post 1 of the Day): http://timeanddate.com/counters/cust...&sec=0&p0=1408 |
#656
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#657
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Vote count Day 1 - take 6
Bear_Nenno (5) - Special Ed #199, Rabid Renaissance #550, Red Skeezix #582, Uthrecht #636, BillMc #647 Uthrecht (5) - Moody Mitchy #370, Bear_Nenno #396, Giraffe #538, Dirx #539, Romola #575 Romola (1) - Locked In The Trunk Of A Car #594 Locked In The Trunk Of A Car (1) - Renata #28 BillMc (1) - Kat #7 Red Skeezix (1) - Sinjin #132 captain (1) - peekercpa #395 Lucifer (1) - Solfy #428 Last edited by Total Ulla; 29th October 2010 at 02:42 AM. Reason: Made a mistake |
#658
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2.Maybe, but who knows what kind of role batman is or if the mod is particularly devious and has left batman out of the game. 3. I've seen scum watchers. The first game round these parts that jumps to my mind is Heroes. In that game scum was able to locate both the cop and doctor night one because of their watcher. (Although scum still lost eventually.) 4. Bear's idea that batman should target him tonight. Unconfirmed players should not be guiding the actions of power roles (assuming that bats is a power role). There are too many open possibilities for a trap to be set. I called him on it. 5. I dunno why they're agreeing with me about this except for that it IS a possibility that should be considered. |
#659
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#661
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#662
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#663
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hmm..oops, sorry. No offense intended Last edited by Total Ulla; 30th October 2010 at 01:17 AM. |
#664
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#665
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And why is everyone giving credence to Bear's thought that he has some 'power that isn't even hinted at in my PM"? |
#666
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Oh, god DAMMIT. I just lost about five paragarphs on the second Romola case to a keyboard quirk. Dammitdammitdammit. I can't put it all together again, I just can't.
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#667
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I'm not, and have mentioned as much, and would love if Bear would/could elaborate on these gut feelings of his.
As I see it, there's a handfull of possibilites: Town Bear does have a reason stated in his PM to want to live through Dusk, but revealing will tip his hand to scum and out him. This would go a long way toward explaining why he's not quoting his PM. Town Bear does not have anything stated in his PM. It really is just a hunch. A hunch is, IMO, a stupid thing on which to claim. We're supposed to let him live on the odds that he thinks something good for town might happen. Right. Scum Bear does have some reason stated in his PM that requires him to live through Dusk. Again, all the more reason not to quote a PM, but what are the odds this is anything good for town? Scum Bear thinks something will happen if/when he lives through Dusk. Again, anything good for scum is not going to be good for town. Winconless Bear gets to make some sort of critical decision during Dusk similar to Ed's choice from the Austen game. No way to tell if this is going to help town or hurt town. I can't see any clear advantage to letting him live or killing him based on the information we have, but I've type this all out in case I'm missing something. Comments welcome. |
#668
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His role name was Dead Bowie, canonically a member of the Evil League of Evil - but he wasn't a member any more. Back to do a Second Read. |
#669
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The second Romola case strikes me as contrived i the extreme, and Locked and Uthrecht were the two to pursue it. Particularly as the whole thing began over Uthrecht flagging a "scum tend to do/think X, not Y" sort of post from Romola as somehow worthy of notice due to coming from a player who'd described herself as relatively inexperienced. I think that's nonsense. That post should never have been flagged in the first place, yet it was the genesis for the entire case that was to follow, due to Romola's response that no, she never had made an issue of her experience level; that was other people bringing it up as a reason to unvote her. Uthrecht (and Locked) pursue that response into the ground and then some, but it's not even a contradiction except superficially -- except for when asked directly, Romola's only reference to her experience level is as rebuttal to a very specific point of Locked's, that she couldn't have done such a thing out of simple curiosity. She never addresses or tries to defend against the separate contention that she was too experienced to try to fish that way -- she claims it wasn't fishing at all, which makes the whole question irrelevant.
So she's actually right -- when she is later unvoted on the basis that she is *not* too experienced to make such a slip, that *is* the first time such an argument is ever made, and it's not by her. |
#670
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unfortunately, keyboard quirks aren't all that infrequqnet
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#671
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Haw haw!
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#672
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Okay, so Ed got me to thinking (yes Ed, write that down). He asked me earlier why Romola and Locked couldn't both be Scum. I said I didn't see it as likely given the way it played out, and even though yes, Scum bus each other on occasion, I still don't see why you'd want to lead off Day 1 with that. I could be wrong, of course.
That said, I've been mulling over Locked's vote movements and thinking it looked hinky. But I still don't buy both of them being Scum, and Romola is striking me as acting strange to be Town, overall. So, it occurred to me that possibly she's third party. It would explain why I felt that she's been a little jumpy and reactive toDay. It might also mean that she's right about Locked, and that he's Scum. I think her original case for him (the way you created your case means you're Scum) is largely bunk, but I feel like he engaged in some odd behavior with his votes. He dropped off Romola and put a vote on Bear here. At that point, it ties Bear with me (but I think I'd have been in the lead based on who hit the count first), and notes that he'll need someone else to put Bear ahead (which seemed a little bit as a nudge to me to move my vote, to be honest, but he doesn't say that directly). He also says that he feels I'm Town. Which would be great for him, if I die and flip Town. He says he feels Bear is more suspicious - but not as suspicious as Romola. Still, looks like he's trying to save me. Then, over here, he gets a gut feeling that Bear is telling the truth about making stuff up, and moves his vote back to Romola - which leaves me out in the vote lead again. So, Locked: why did you decide to move your vote out of the top two? Are you saying that you feel that I am now more suspicious than Bear? |
#673
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But with the scum watcher scenario explained, it probably wouldn't be worth it to do anyway since scum could just watch me. Any potential good I could have done is now negated by the possibility of a scum watcher--something my inexperience never considered. With that in mind, I am as good a lynch Day 1 as any other. |
#674
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Uthrecht: yes.
I believe Bear's claim, regardless of the probably-incorrect Batman scenario. I still think Romola is scummy scum scum, but I can see she isn't being lynched today. I am not ready to vote for you, though I did see some weird stuff I want to analyze. Which will come later today. Until I get a chance to do that analysis my vote will stay on Romola where it does the least harm. |
#675
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Bear, so many of your actions toDay have stood out as attention-getting enough to make any detective itch to get a read on you. You may claim or deny that this is intentional, but even your self-voting was enough to arouse people's curiosity, and the weak claim is a huge "Look at me!" flag. Sure, you've never said, "Please investigate me," and any detective, watcher, whatever, can chose their own target, but I can't help but think it's contrived.
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#676
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and now that's done it for you. |
#677
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Maybe you should consider the possibility that you misunderstood the original argument, if your conclusion is 'only scum would do this.' Especially focus on how its only hole was believing that Romola was experienced. Then figure out why a defense of inexperience might matter to that. And then figure out why it seems disingenuous to claim you never made that defense at all. |
#678
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So contrived that I have gone out of my way to tell the Detective NOT to investigate me?
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#679
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#680
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So now telling someone not to do something is the same as telling them to do it? You people just see what you want to see, i guess. Action and inaction are not the same thing.
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#681
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Dear god, I have had an insane week at work. This happens to me sometimes. I apologize for my absence. I'm still here.. promise to get caught up soon. Jesus, I suck sometimes.
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#682
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Pretty anti-town of you. |
#684
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If Batman needed to find you, don't you think he'd know that? Why alert everyone else to your 'idea'? |
#685
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why?
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#686
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Killing off niller town?! Perish the though! Who would want to lynch a vanilla town?! Quote:
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#687
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Romola from the post where she voted you: Quote:
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After that there were some questions regarding her actual experience level, which she answers simply. Bear unvotes her for not wanting to be the reason she's lynched, and Lucifer unvotes her including this statement: Quote:
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Both you and Uthrecht come across to me as trying to turn a superficial inconsistency into something much larger than it is, in order to justify your votes. Uthrecht even more so, since his initial question was unfounded and since he wasn't "inside" the initial argument, so to speak. |
#688
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I withdrew my original vote because I believed she was making the argument that she made a mistake out of inexperience. I'm not the only person who got that impression. Later, when it suited her, she claimed to have never made that argument. Maybe she's completely unaware of how her statements were going to be interpreted, but I doubt it. |
#689
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#690
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#691
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Everything's a mole hill on day one; but Romola has been shady and disingenuous about her answers and I don't like it.
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#692
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1. Romola mentioned that she was inexperienced as a reason for bringing up the question of how Dawn/Dusk functions. 2. Because she has claimed inexperience in regards to one particular mechanic, she is not allowed to have any opinions as to anything else in the game. with the corollary that she did in fact state she was inexperienced at one point in time and then denied it later (because it had nothing to do with the questions being asked.) In essence, your case is bunk because Romola did not claim inexperience in regards to having an opinion as to what Scum might or might not do, despite not understanding how Dawn/Dusk works. I mean, hell, I'm very inexperienced in regards to riding a motorcycle, and I might ask how to work a clutch, but that doesn't mean I can't have the opinion that it's stupid to ride one without wearing a helmet. |
#693
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#694
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because if she's not, why revote her when she actually made a case after unvoting her for explaining her inexperience?
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#695
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I feel like both you and Uthrecht have been acting extremely fishy this past day (real day, not Day) or so. I'm still dubious of Bear and Romola, but you two seem to radiate ulterior motives more than anyone else. |
#697
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I'm not Ulla, but this is what I've got:
5 Bear (Ed, RabidR, Red Skeezix, Uthrecht, Bill) Uthrecht (moody, Bear, Giraffe, Dirx, Romola) 1 Locked (Renata) Romola (Locked) Bill (Kat) RedSkeezix (sinjin) Captain (peeker) Lucifer (Solfy) |
#698
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#700
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My argument is very simple: 1. Romola is too experienced to make that Night Zero post. -- countered solely by Romola (and others) saying she is, in fact, not that experienced. 2. Later, Romola said she had not used inexperience as a defense. This is a lie. (See above.) Romola is the only player I've caught in a lie. And I've considered (and voted for) other people; that part of your statement's not even true. I'm actually in the middle of writing my argument against Uthrecht. |
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