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  #1  
Old 28th December 2021, 01:19 AM
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I really did think AA was Town, just goes to show that I can't read people at all. I am curious as to how I could have been snuggling AA though, I thought that was something that scum did to Town. I was also wrong about Swammi. If Prof is lying to us then I will have to give up this game forever. I don't think he is lying because there wasn't a counter claim and why would scum take such a risk anyway, that wouldn't make sense.
  #2  
Old 28th December 2021, 07:08 AM
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I find myself concerned about the extra wrap-up votes. Elves with 3 and Mariahs with 2 can seriously influence those.
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Old 28th December 2021, 12:35 PM
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I've read the first two pages of Day 1. A lot of social interaction, meeko stuff, a weak push on Arch by Pleonast (that he admitted was weak), and Prof. claiming. The post by The Cat's Meow where they say they really like the Day's posting so far popped out because the ratio of game-related content to social interaction to that point was a lot lower than usual.
  #4  
Old 28th December 2021, 07:34 PM
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In fact, the way I read it you thought that non-town was compelled to make an extra kill.
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Old 28th December 2021, 07:35 PM
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Vanta's weak defense of summertime is troubling. I mean, if summertime is something you want to save, wouldn't you put up an argument for it?
  #6  
Old 28th December 2021, 08:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bashorian Clement View Post
Vanta's weak defense of summertime is troubling. I mean, if summertime is something you want to save, wouldn't you put up an argument for it?
Summertime, summertime, sum-sum-summertime.

I would vote out winter if I could!
  #7  
Old 28th December 2021, 08:21 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vanta Black View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bashorian Clement View Post
Vanta's weak defense of summertime is troubling. I mean, if summertime is something you want to save, wouldn't you put up an argument for it?
Summertime, summertime, sum-sum-summertime.

I would vote out winter if I could!
I will sure be happy to see this holiday season wrapped.
  #8  
Old 28th December 2021, 07:38 PM
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Let it snow
Let it snow
Let it snow!
  #9  
Old 28th December 2021, 07:41 PM
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gnarlycharlie is subbing in for guiri
  #10  
Old 28th December 2021, 08:10 PM
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Welcome back gnarlycharlie. Hope all is well guiri.
  #11  
Old 28th December 2021, 08:14 PM
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Anyone around this Tuesday evening?
  #12  
Old 28th December 2021, 08:16 PM
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Hey, hope you're feeling better
  #13  
Old 29th December 2021, 07:14 AM
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christmas sock/gnarlie - doesn't seem to have posted much to gain attention
lightfoot - lots of night time commentary, maybe struck a nerve
swammer - bit of strange d1, no reason for scum to kill him, so probably the town vig. a reckless town vig is possibly more of a threat than the scum

Profs claim as cop....if it's a lie, then in a straight town v scum game the real cop should claim and it's a fair trade; or the real cop investigates the fake claim, then claims the following day.
In a three handed game, with godfathers, having a godfather fake claim a cop is a reasonable scum play, and a real town cop is more valueable in clearing others.

For now, I'll take prof's claim with a pinch of salt - especially as the person he chose to investigate turned up dead...coincidence?

SilverJan's snuggle of AA....if SJ is also a mariah, then probably the godfather, so protected by the mariah doc, so not a good target for the elf nk, or the vig. that said, the town vig taking a shot at jan to determine that, would have been a better play than swammer (assuming that was the vig target).

vanta seems to be trying to get the bandwagon rolling against me - it's not day 3 yet!
strike one of three mariahs seems linguistically correct, but you want to make an issue of it.

and gnarlie is back after a quick change to be guiri
  #14  
Old 29th December 2021, 03:06 PM
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Fiiiiiiive goooooooold RIIIIINGS!
  #15  
Old 29th December 2021, 05:01 PM
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Fiiiiiiive goooooooold RIIIIINGS!
  #16  
Old 30th December 2021, 06:35 AM
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Fiiiiiiive goooooooold RIIIIINGS!
4 calling birds!
  #17  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Prof. Pepperwinkle View Post
Fiiiiiiive goooooooold RIIIIINGS!
4 calling birds!
3 French Hens
  #18  
Old 30th December 2021, 12:16 PM
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4 calling birds!
3 French Hens
2 Turtle Doves!
  #19  
Old 29th December 2021, 05:16 PM
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Did I place a vote on Bill? Nope I didn’t.

But no I won’t ever praise a BS vote as being Townsided regardless of the outcome of the vote.

Bill is neutral at best.
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  #20  
Old 29th December 2021, 06:47 PM
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Originally Posted by Dizzymrslizzy View Post
Did I place a vote on Bill? Nope I didn’t.

But no I won’t ever praise a BS vote as being Townsided regardless of the outcome of the vote.

Bill is neutral at best.
I would give Bill more Town cred if there was only one Town team because scum busing helped Town win the last game.
  #21  
Old 29th December 2021, 07:06 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dizzymrslizzy View Post
Did I place a vote on Bill? Nope I didn’t.

But no I won’t ever praise a BS vote as being Townsided regardless of the outcome of the vote.

Bill is neutral at best.
I would give Bill more Town cred if there was only one Town team because scum busing helped Town win the last game.
One Scum team lost last time in this iteration because they bused. Town did not win, however. The other team did not bus and did what they had to do to get to End Game.
  #22  
Old 30th December 2021, 03:24 AM
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Vote Count:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vote Counting Robot
Gnarlycharlie (1): Pleonast (70)

Wow. I knew we were voting cautiously this Day, but I hadn't realized it was that cautious.

RL/Health/Holidays have kept participation light, to the extent that even I wouldn't go after Yeet-the-Lurker toDay.
  #23  
Old 30th December 2021, 04:47 AM
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15 active players. 27 hours left. We have 1 active vote. This is going to be a pretty exciting final 27 hours. Please make sure your votes are showing up in the vote counter with so many votes to come.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vote Counting Robot
Gnarlycharlie (1): Pleonast (70)
Be nice!
  #24  
Old 30th December 2021, 05:08 AM
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Originally Posted by Prof. Pepperwinkle View Post
Vote Count:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vote Counting Robot
Gnarlycharlie (1): Pleonast (70)

Wow. I knew we were voting cautiously this Day, but I hadn't realized it was that cautious.

RL/Health/Holidays have kept participation light, to the extent that even I wouldn't go after Yeet-the-Lurker toDay.

Jeez, yeah. Oof
  #25  
Old 30th December 2021, 09:59 AM
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Originally Posted by Archangel View Post
Good morning. My reads are that Vanta Black, Swammerdami, and Silverjan are probably Town. Don’t have anything on anyone else.

I’m going to need to ask for a sub, my house has been for sale for months and I finally got an offer last night but have nowhere to move.

Merry Christmas, happy holidays, and happy New Year.

Mahaloth, I apologize but I need a sub please.
ArchAngel is wily enough to stay away from the Rule of Three, but since Swammi flipped town, this reinforces my Vanta Black vote.
  #26  
Old 30th December 2021, 10:25 AM
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I can get behind this


I could also get behind a dizzy vote for similar reasons. She seems to be going out of her way to suggest that I am scum for voting AA but quite happy to assume the rest of the voters are town.
  #27  
Old 30th December 2021, 01:55 PM
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I can get behind this


I could also get behind a dizzy vote for similar reasons. She seems to be going out of her way to suggest that I am scum for voting AA but quite happy to assume the rest of the voters are town.

No that’s not at ALL what I said.

I said voting AA wasn’t worthy of unequivocal Town Cred.

But hey since you are skimming and now putting words in my mouth

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  #28  
Old 30th December 2021, 02:13 PM
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Originally Posted by Dizzymrslizzy View Post
No that’s not at ALL what I said.

I said voting AA wasn’t worthy of unequivocal Town Cred.

But hey since you are skimming and now putting words in my mouth
Let me remind you of what you actually said, underlining mine:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dizzymrslizzy View Post
Okay he voted for Arch Angel, BUT there are two scum teams, so maybe not so much a Bus as trying to kill off his opponent.

With multiple factions you don’t care who dies as long as it’s not your team.

So I don’t give much cred to leading the charge on AA. It was a BS case that turned lucky as hell. If ANYTHING. Bill is MORE on my radar for leading the charge there….
1) you are accusing me of being scum..trying to kill off my opponent
2) you are saying I led the charge on AA...with a 3rd vote?..skimming?
  #29  
Old 30th December 2021, 02:50 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dizzymrslizzy View Post
No that’s not at ALL what I said.

I said voting AA wasn’t worthy of unequivocal Town Cred.

But hey since you are skimming and now putting words in my mouth
Let me remind you of what you actually said, underlining mine:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dizzymrslizzy View Post
Okay he voted for Arch Angel, BUT there are two scum teams, so maybe not so much a Bus as trying to kill off his opponent.

With multiple factions you don’t care who dies as long as it’s not your team.

So I don’t give much cred to leading the charge on AA. It was a BS case that turned lucky as hell. If ANYTHING. Bill is MORE on my radar for leading the charge there….
1) you are accusing me of being scum..trying to kill off my opponent
2) you are saying I led the charge on AA...with a 3rd vote?..skimming?

It was a discussion surrounding you being ultra clear and untouchable.

I was simply saying you are NOT ultra clear, and reasons as to why you COULD be scum.

But you are ridiculously defensive over it, making it more than it is. And continuing…. scummy.
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  #30  
Old 31st December 2021, 02:21 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dizzymrslizzy View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by BillMc View Post

Let me remind you of what you actually said, underlining mine:



1) you are accusing me of being scum..trying to kill off my opponent
2) you are saying I led the charge on AA...with a 3rd vote?..skimming?

It was a discussion surrounding you being ultra clear and untouchable.

I was simply saying you are NOT ultra clear, and reasons as to why you COULD be scum.

But you are ridiculously defensive over it, making it more than it is. And continuing…. scummy.
Town is often overly defensive about getting voted, you know I do it often. Oh goodness me, I am once again defending a player that must mean he is scum
  #31  
Old 30th December 2021, 02:36 PM
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'cause I haven't change my mind from yesterDay.

I will probably change it by EoD, 'cause I am concerned over the various Scum factions taking control of the 2nd & 3rd wraps.
  #32  
Old 30th December 2021, 02:52 PM
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Because, it's either you or BC, and frankly, I am more sure that BC and I are town against town.

Ultimately, OMGUS, tinged with skimming. That is to say, I think you aren't giving me enough credit given my improved play over the more recent games. I think you are manufacturing / mobilizing this, in militaristic sense. And, as I know what alignment I am, ... that does not bode well for you.

At this point, any ""case"" as such I bring up, is going to be weak, but I don't let that sway my action. Others have said and used " Gut Reaction " here, and get away with far more.

But, yes. A "smell". Faintly.
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  #33  
Old 30th December 2021, 04:51 PM
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Greetings.

Alright, let's do this. I will dump my mental state from the very, very undetailed skim I took of the game state already. Garbage dump:

I saw a scummo got destroyed on the prior day by the flip, and then on day 2 I saw accusations regarding whether there was bussing, and potentially scummy reactions to that, and so forth. I think that's mainly the most interesting and possibly revealing behaviors that happened so far. Specifically generic and uncomplex thoughts that experience has shown me comes more from scums attempting to mirror town thoughts in a cookiecutter manner, while fitting their agenda. More than one name has popped up basing suspicions on that assumption already, and I will name those names when I have a minute.

My thoughts on that skim were that 2 scum factions have in general possibly already gone to war with each other using their superior position of basically being vigilante-masons. This happens a lot in 3 way mafia games, as noted quite extensively in my guide section on multiball.

Especially if there is already a situation of loss and distrust, and town hasn't lost their power roles yet, that's a terrible position to be in.

On skim, Archangel was visibly scummy during her brief time here on day one. From the classics in terms of scumtells themselves, like "I agree" (a scumtell that has landed a hit 21 games in a row now) to the specifics of the case levied against her. Sometimes people just look scummy and people can see it. Doesn't make someone town for seeing it, since it is multiball. Scums are also hunting scums.

Night kills will likely be hitting people the scums thought were 1) town power roles, 2) opposing scums, and 3) otherwise very dangerous townies, or people they thought they could never vote out due to looking villagery, which is less likely in multiball since villagery solving is also scummy here. The confirmable (?) town powers form basically a claimable masonry I think, and the multiple scum factions also form a hostile to each other masonry. So those are the biggest targets for everyone who can night kill. Which would be why everyone who died on n2 died. From every killer's perspective, those persons were almost always (1) or (2).

Anyway. I think the time of the year plus the general lack of activity during this phase has led to a town without a strong lead or much in the way of general teamwork at the moment. So I will drop advice to townies who are baffled for a good move.

A relevant piece of advice to all Mall Santas: Townies individually can be effective by being accurate with their votes, but as a team they have to vote together accurately, rather than dividedly. So the ultra low tally for much of the day, great for pressure and causing twitching, but we need to hit a second scummo here. So I will be asking for people to rally behind me, or someone else. (I have someone in mind if I don't have a better suggestion on deeper read.)

Other ways individual townies can be effective is looking townie. If you are town and people don't vote for you, and more and more townies are like that, that's great because it's more likely that votes land on scums by default in the remaining pool. Even if your own vote isnt accurate, not being a target is useful. So play to your strengths. If they are looking townie, do that. If its solving, do that. If its both, do both.

Other ways: People can be using mechanics to solve the game. Okay, do that. Just make sure thats not what it looks like youre doing. Night kills are spooky.

Other ways: keep track of all the relevant mechanical info, people's votes, reads, reasons, and so forth. Don't let information that happened on day 1 or day 2 be lost by middle or endgame. Stuff happens early on that scums can't control too easily. Don't let those things be forgotten ever.

Other ways: Just by being a positive and upbeat influence and not letting morale in town slip too much. Don't let the large numbers of scums, incorrect guesses, or scummy arguments which push doubt, discrediting, and so forth, affect your reasoning. Be of good cheer, and don't waver in the face of the usual scummo tactics to make you doubt and divide yourselves.

I intended to write a chapter on being an effective townie and while the most effective thing you can do individually is vote correctly, that doesn't by itself win the game and it doesn't necessarily amount to good teamwork or a good solving environment, and if you can't do the first thing, there is plenty else you can do to be valuable to the team.



Okay.

I will place a vote with reasons before I sleep, then I have work, and I won't be particularly active in the remaining hours before deadline.

As such, I am making myself a strong candidate for a "follow me" voter today just to regain the initiative lost due to the inactivity of day 2.

I won't be able to follow someone else at all unless they already voted, and I tend to get NKed so this is probably my only move this game. Let's see if I can convince myself it's good.
  #34  
Old 30th December 2021, 05:50 PM
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The newbie-to-the-game leans on very limited reading:

Dizzy on this page and previous pages, struck me as strongly Dizzy. Meaning specifically, the key things I look for in her town game, are present.

That means I won't be voting for Dizzy today, not that I can write her off as town forever in a multiball. She should be able to act villagery in a game where she has to hunt, I give her that much credit. But I think she's been poking some good eyeballs that needed to be poked. I would consider following her vote on BillMc specifically because of this:

BillMc:
Quote:
Originally Posted by BillMc View Post
I can get behind this
Vote vanta black

I could also get behind a dizzy vote for similar reasons. She seems to be going out of her way to suggest that I am scum for voting AA but quite happy to assume the rest of the voters are town.
"Seems to be" is passive aggressive phrasing, a scum tell characteristic of all the scum teams I have faced off against in the past 6 years without exception. The tell is null for BillMc if thats language he uses often as town. Even a single example would do.

I also don't know how much hunting he is doing, but it is the holidays and I havent read all his posts either.

Meeko:

I have no idea how to read Meeko accurately. I can say the formatting always throws me, but I've seen that style of Meeko posting enough times from the sidelines to give it a "brainwave" read of it being normal enough Meeko. Essentially that means Meeko is viewing the game from a Meeko perspective and posting like Meeko in a manner that does not read agenda driven to me. Is that an ultra solid town read in a multiball game? Nyope. But I shan't be voting for a Meeko either.

I think the best way I can possibly be a good teammate for Meeko here would be to, similarly, just follow his vote on BillMc.

Which means I need to suggest a counterwagon in case BillMc is a miss, so as not to waste my time in-game entirely. Reading comes first before that, but more skim reads:

Pleonast is someone I can't really touch at the moment. Villagery stuff comes from scum too much in multiball for me to do the usual "this is my towncore" particularly on someone with his level of acting ability. Hat tip to the superhero game on that, was sure that wasn't Pleo and lo and behold it was. I can say what I like about his game so far is that it reads as standard Pleonast operating procedure. I see a strategy and a leadery/directing tone to his posts, accompanied by the expected inability to actually cause his leadership to, you know, direct people, because of a lack of diplomacy or salesmanship. Essentially, not investing charisma into his persuasion checks. This is just an impression I got from the limited posts I actually saw so far, but I can pull them for reference to substantiate this argument.

Bottom line, this is fully expected Pleonast behavior.

This is all tempered by, how do I read someone who should be good at both behaving like himself as scum and also avoiding the pitfalls of doing "team behavior". Pleonast as scum, while not something I remember facing off against, has a self described meta and a reputation around these parts for being exactly unable to be cold read scum as scum, either by behaving unlike his usual self (giving off scumtells) or doing team behavior in a manner that sticks out. Essentially he plays to have a perfect cloak.

So all of that positive I have for Pleonast, the stuff I expect to see from him in each game as town is there. It's also something I can't place him as town and never vote him. I sort of have to treat his slot like a zero poster and read the entire game and find I believe 5 scums outside of Pleonast's body to a strong degree, to townread him.

Which will be difficult with other players being difficult to read here (ex: Suburban Plankton with zero posts today)

I can't get there on Pleonast anytime soon. All I have is the surface level stuff that experience tells me means I should vote outside of Pleonast, because I do not gamble. Pleo could well be a hit but he's obviously not behaving like one and I have other non-null leans that I can even think are really hits.

Bashorian Clement reads like Bashorian Clement but I've read almost none of his posts. It's just what I grabbed on skim made me not want to hit there because there was nothing I read there that is hittable.

Plankton I need to check day one and see if he did anything I could plausibly alignment read. This and the Guiri slot and the other low posters / inactives, means a lot of gaps I could potentially even get to a scum read on, and in this setup I have to focus on readably scummy people. But I will pencil in Plankton as being town because inactivity sucks and then you die when you're town.

Why I do that: Because inactive / ineffective towns with large numbers of scums means the game is over quicker for town, as a loss, even with a fine first shot against a scum day one. It's better to assume the worst for town, so you have the sense of danger and urgency one needs, particularly with a listless leaderless disorganized town and the scum teams will capitalize on it within the 24 hours to advance their win condition. Plankton is town because life sucks when you are a townie, and that's just tough turkeys but it is the way life goes. You remember all the counterexamples. You forget just how often the inactives are town. Game setup / townies remaining / time remaining in the round, compels me to veto votes on Suburban Plankton.

Every yeet of a townie is potentially 4 townies dead at once, which kills this town permanently. There is not enough time remaining to do a claim battle or move town's vote girth onto a new candidate when its wrong. Chalk all that up to life sucks for townies, and thats how I handle being pushed against a wall with probably inactive probably town partners, is I point elsewhere and insist.



I see in the other tab Guiri had 9 posts on day one and 8 today, so I will read those to read charlie slot. I can't recall one but I missed a good 80 to 90 percent of all posts so far. At least there's stuff to read here.

But here is the thing:

Quote:
15. TheCatsMeow ATPG

2. Pleonast
3. A Poor Shepherd Boy
4. guiri / gnarlycharlie
5. Prof. Pepperwinkle
6. Bashorian Clement
8. Dizzymrslizzy
9. Meeko

10. raventhief
11. Vanta Black
12. Annoying Christmas Singer (added)
14. Suburban Plankton
16. SilverJan
17. BillMc
19. Mordenkainen

---------------------------

7. Archangel Backup Doc Scum
18. Christmas Sock
13. Swammerdami
1. Lightfoot
There are 5 valid targets outside of my teal "not today" names, in 9 names.

The odds of being wrong go up exponentially from here, in terms of finding more "not today" names. And I gotta hit scum.

So even with the fragments of reasons I have to not scum read those names thusfar, I don't know how effective, successful, or wise it will be to continue. Every guess in this side of the ledger improves my aim drastically on the other side, because it's a lot of fish in a very small barrel.

It's just very poor and based on too little.

It's better to put people in check on the other side of the ledger than try to brute force solve for town with so little of the game understood.

Another candidate I would have to remove from the barrel so to speak would be the Christmas singer for undiplomatic nonagenda sorts of reasons. Basically the sock looks like it is playing for no town points and not ingratiating itself to anyone and also not interested in initiative, control, or credibility.

That's a super blind spot for me when scums do that because scums so very, very rarely do that, unless they always do that. And its a sock, so thats a wager I'm not willing to make yet.

But, I kinda don't like to vote for Singer either, mainly because Singer should be readable "eventually" on vote pattern analysis. Example, Vanta's flip tells you things about Singer a lot. Maybe not always, but enough for my instinct to tell me not today. Also, the sharpness and substance of the one liner vote there tastes like cinnamon in a good way. A little spicy in that candied cane.


So basically on a no read, no re-read, sideline skim of the game, those are the reads I got on instant recall once I knew my alignment.

That means if my gut is worth a damn, which it isn't, my town team continues to contain roughly two inactives, possibly three give or take, depending on your definition of inactive. Voting once with a reason is fairly close to not teamwork friendly enough to be called "active". I also potentially have a workable town-team out of Pleonast, Meeko, Bashorian Clement, and Dizzymrslizzy, possibly with Singer involved if they can sign in and join ranks.

Would I sell my soul that they are town? Nope. Contained within those names, I have historically unreadable, generically unreadable, extremely cunning scumbag by reputation when scumbag, and incomprehensible on my team, plus inactives.

So those are my initial town guesses I'd not be willing to invest money in.

That said, I kinda want to start with those as my not todays and look outside of those names for scums. If I keep finding townies and not scums, I will probably suggest uniting behind Dizzy today on the people she suspects.

If I have a stronger alternative I will mention it and say the reasons but I need to specifically think Dizzy's targets are town not to follow her.

Everything I do is time intensive and I gotta sleep in a few hours and then you won't be seeing me again, so I am thankful the game is a short read.

Also, a tally is prudent, even though I know the vote count is super low still.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vote Counting Robot
Billmc (2): Dizzymrslizzy (116), Meeko (120)
Pleonast (1): Prof. Pepperwinkle (118)
Annoying Christmas Singer (1): Vanta Black (114)
Gnarlycharlie (1): Pleonast (70)
Vanta Black (1): Bashorian Clement (103)[113], BillMc (107)
If you want, you can paste this as well:

Voting History:
post #70: Pleonast voted Gnarlycharlie
post #103: Bashorian Clement voted Vanta Black
post #107: BillMc voted Vanta Black
post #113: Bashorian Clement unvoted Winner Of 1987 Indy 500
post #114: Vanta Black voted Annoying Christmas Singer
post #116: Dizzymrslizzy voted Billmc
post #118: Prof. Pepperwinkle voted Pleonast
post #120: Meeko voted Billmc
  #35  
Old 30th December 2021, 06:05 PM
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Of those voted, I have only the thinnest of arguments not to hit Singer and Pleonast.

I have no read of Guiri so thats next to see if I can concur with Pleo on something.

It's sort of agree with Dizzy/Meeko and hit BillMc because historically what Bill did is scummy, and go all in, or provide counterwagon onto Vanta or Guiri/gnarly.

I can see reasons for Vanta, but I need to check Guiri posts before I discount that third alternative.

If my starting skim leans are anywhere near right, at least one scum should have a vote right now, and I want to assist.

I do not think that's five townies being voted.
  #36  
Old 30th December 2021, 06:58 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Askthepizzaguy View Post
Of those voted, I have only the thinnest of arguments not to hit Singer and Pleonast.

I have no read of Guiri so thats next to see if I can concur with Pleo on something.

It's sort of agree with Dizzy/Meeko and hit BillMc because historically what Bill did is scummy, and go all in, or provide counterwagon onto Vanta or Guiri/gnarly.

I can see reasons for Vanta, but I need to check Guiri posts before I discount that third alternative.

If my starting skim leans are anywhere near right, at least one scum should have a vote right now, and I want to assist.

I do not think that's five townies being voted.

Damn I think we have mind melded. I am solid on Vanta as a second as well.
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  #37  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:00 PM
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Hm, the teal Don't Vote Today list doesn't agree with mine at all. It's almost the opposite. The exceptions are Dizzy and Meeko.

So that's suspicious.

Oh. Hi Pizza!
  #38  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:06 PM
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Originally Posted by Vanta Black View Post
Hm, the teal Don't Vote Today list doesn't agree with mine at all. It's almost the opposite. The exceptions are Dizzy and Meeko.

So that's suspicious.

Oh. Hi Pizza!
It is suspicious that someone who hasnt read 80 percent of the game doesnt have a leans list that matches yours?

How generic of you. Hello!
  #39  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:14 PM
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Well as you may have noticed there is not so much of the game to read!

I will update my leans list shortly.

I don't think we should triple-wrap toDay. I'm not even sure if we should double-wrap. It would be nice to knock off two scum but it would be disaster to knock off two town.
  #40  
Old 30th December 2021, 06:08 PM
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If it is, that's unfortunate and a lot relies on night chess. In this setup, given these activity levels, even with the successful day one, this is probable to be town's last stand entirely or last stand before a LYLO where people don't trust anyone because it was one move to victory for scums and townies made it, and there's no reason to townclear anyone.

That's the outcome that compels me to really go offensive here and strike a scum out of those who can be struck, rather than further divide things. I also havent read enough of the game to do a full brute force solve. I'm like 10 days from doing a solve to that level, so it can't be me. Follower it is.
  #41  
Old 30th December 2021, 06:59 PM
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Alright I see you online Dizzy. I have limited time remaining and watching the infant, so talk to me. I will refresh often.
  #42  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:33 PM
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Originally Posted by Askthepizzaguy View Post
Alright I see you online Dizzy. I have limited time remaining and watching the infant, so talk to me. I will refresh often.

Don’t wait up for me, my head is gobble gook tonight. Tomorrow is a new day
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  #43  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dizzymrslizzy View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Askthepizzaguy View Post
Alright I see you online Dizzy. I have limited time remaining and watching the infant, so talk to me. I will refresh often.

Don’t wait up for me, my head is gobble gook tonight. Tomorrow is a new day
And the day after is a new year.
  #44  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:44 PM
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Vanta Black is my second catch. I fully support their execution, but we need to split the town vote to keep control of the executions. guiri is my stronger scum lean.
  #45  
Old 30th December 2021, 08:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pleonast View Post
Vanta Black is my second catch. I fully support their execution, but we need to split the town vote to keep control of the executions. guiri is my stronger scum lean.
This reads to me as if Pleonast is speaking to his scum mates, who he otherwise can't talk to during the Day.

Really? We need to split the town vote? No we don't. We need one execution. The 3-man scum team can swing a vote if town is not well consolidated. Hell, the 2-man scum team could do it too under certain circumstances.
  #46  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:28 PM
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That read on Guiri is difficult. Trying a second read.

What I am seeing that can just be normal Guiri but pings me is as follows:

Note where his focus is, in his posts. Read all of them in chronological order.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...97#post1738197
This is basically fluff. And it is post 57 of d1 so, who cares about that.

Post 102 however is attempting to null multiple person's arguments, fluff, and mechanics. Thats an easy way to coast through the game without triggering alarm bells. So scums do this a lot. This and some others pinged me.
https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...38#post1738338

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...&postcount=164
This post looks solidly in villager range. There is some investigation, some clarification, some 'lack of TMI', and multiple aggressions. That's pretty concentrated villagery.

213 looks like the reading non-comprehension towntell from Silverjan, which is significant as it hasnt been wrong yet.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...31#post1738631
216 looks villagery brainwave.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...&postcount=218
218 is a good follow up to interrogative with Silverjan. Seems like he is trying to get answers and act on them during the round, rather than skate.


So that, I take away more villagery than wolfy on the second pass.

I see where there is generic and fluffy and skatey, but there are serious counterindicators. Checking d2 again.

After the initial quoting of the vote tally, I see he does a multiquote wall of raven.

Now, I disagree with the conclusion that any of that is out of sorts for raven. This is what I have come to expect from town raven, in several examples.

People have real lives, and some players are not hardcore solvers, gotta solve every post as town, thats not how raven flies.

So I take it as an easy case a scum can make, but Guiri isnt satisfied with plopping an easy vote on raven after case walling her here.
https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...72&postcount=7

I dont know if I am there on Mord, but I am running out of spaces for townies to be.
This spreads the aggression and the case makes sense from a not-me POV and some generics of what I also believe.
https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...74#post1739174

12 and 13 of that thread is the waterfall / continuing thoughts towntell from Guiri, which I should have noticed on the first pass. It indicates a seriousness of belief and a real time solving and processing and behaving indicative of natural townies.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...3&postcount=14
This also makes sense as a continuing solving process. Not only that, the push on silverjan reads as non-agendy assuming exactly Jan and Guiri are not a scum team together. It's a good nuance to pick up on, which scums tend to forget about.

34 again reads just fine and trying to solve for someones alignment by asking questions rather than being lazy and generic, particularly wrt the interactions with dizzy.

That is quite high level scum acting from guiri if it is.

36 is excellent. I can't get much from gnarlycharlie, still, but what stuff I was finding that was scummy about guiri is far more generic than the counterarguments I am able to generate on closer inspection and slower reading comprehension.

There are town tells in play here that indicate much more strongly against a Guiri vote today. Glad I rechecked all this, missed all of it on the first pass, looking for reasons to case Guiri.

Its hard to both attack and defend someone at the same time, you really have to shut off one to fairly do the other.
  #47  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:43 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Askthepizzaguy View Post

Spoiled here is the entire post that starts with ::


What I am seeing that can just be normal Guiri but pings me is as follows:


That read on Guiri is difficult. Trying a second read.

What I am seeing that can just be normal Guiri but pings me is as follows:

Note where his focus is, in his posts. Read all of them in chronological order.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...97#post1738197
This is basically fluff. And it is post 57 of d1 so, who cares about that.

Post 102 however is attempting to null multiple person's arguments, fluff, and mechanics. Thats an easy way to coast through the game without triggering alarm bells. So scums do this a lot. This and some others pinged me.
https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...38#post1738338

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...&postcount=164
This post looks solidly in villager range. There is some investigation, some clarification, some 'lack of TMI', and multiple aggressions. That's pretty concentrated villagery.

213 looks like the reading non-comprehension towntell from Silverjan, which is significant as it hasnt been wrong yet.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...31#post1738631
216 looks villagery brainwave.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...&postcount=218
218 is a good follow up to interrogative with Silverjan. Seems like he is trying to get answers and act on them during the round, rather than skate.


So that, I take away more villagery than wolfy on the second pass.

I see where there is generic and fluffy and skatey, but there are serious counterindicators. Checking d2 again.

After the initial quoting of the vote tally, I see he does a multiquote wall of raven.

Now, I disagree with the conclusion that any of that is out of sorts for raven. This is what I have come to expect from town raven, in several examples.

People have real lives, and some players are not hardcore solvers, gotta solve every post as town, thats not how raven flies.

So I take it as an easy case a scum can make, but Guiri isnt satisfied with plopping an easy vote on raven after case walling her here.
https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...72&postcount=7

I dont know if I am there on Mord, but I am running out of spaces for townies to be.
This spreads the aggression and the case makes sense from a not-me POV and some generics of what I also believe.
https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...74#post1739174

12 and 13 of that thread is the waterfall / continuing thoughts towntell from Guiri, which I should have noticed on the first pass. It indicates a seriousness of belief and a real time solving and processing and behaving indicative of natural townies.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...3&postcount=14
This also makes sense as a continuing solving process. Not only that, the push on silverjan reads as non-agendy assuming exactly Jan and Guiri are not a scum team together. It's a good nuance to pick up on, which scums tend to forget about.

34 again reads just fine and trying to solve for someones alignment by asking questions rather than being lazy and generic, particularly wrt the interactions with dizzy.

That is quite high level scum acting from guiri if it is.

36 is excellent. I can't get much from gnarlycharlie, still, but what stuff I was finding that was scummy about guiri is far more generic than the counterarguments I am able to generate on closer inspection and slower reading comprehension.

There are town tells in play here that indicate much more strongly against a Guiri vote today. Glad I rechecked all this, missed all of it on the first pass, looking for reasons to case Guiri.

Its hard to both attack and defend someone at the same time, you really have to shut off one to fairly do the other.

Respectfully, you are doing like, Calculus here. My brain flaked out around like Algebra II. Legit don't know why I need to know binomials and quadratic equations.

Like,


Am I supposed to be playing like this (Do we have a " gulp " emoji?)
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  #48  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Meeko View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Askthepizzaguy View Post

Spoiled here is the entire post that starts with ::


What I am seeing that can just be normal Guiri but pings me is as follows:


That read on Guiri is difficult. Trying a second read.

What I am seeing that can just be normal Guiri but pings me is as follows:

Note where his focus is, in his posts. Read all of them in chronological order.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...97#post1738197
This is basically fluff. And it is post 57 of d1 so, who cares about that.

Post 102 however is attempting to null multiple person's arguments, fluff, and mechanics. Thats an easy way to coast through the game without triggering alarm bells. So scums do this a lot. This and some others pinged me.
https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...38#post1738338

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...&postcount=164
This post looks solidly in villager range. There is some investigation, some clarification, some 'lack of TMI', and multiple aggressions. That's pretty concentrated villagery.

213 looks like the reading non-comprehension towntell from Silverjan, which is significant as it hasnt been wrong yet.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...31#post1738631
216 looks villagery brainwave.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...&postcount=218
218 is a good follow up to interrogative with Silverjan. Seems like he is trying to get answers and act on them during the round, rather than skate.


So that, I take away more villagery than wolfy on the second pass.

I see where there is generic and fluffy and skatey, but there are serious counterindicators. Checking d2 again.

After the initial quoting of the vote tally, I see he does a multiquote wall of raven.

Now, I disagree with the conclusion that any of that is out of sorts for raven. This is what I have come to expect from town raven, in several examples.

People have real lives, and some players are not hardcore solvers, gotta solve every post as town, thats not how raven flies.

So I take it as an easy case a scum can make, but Guiri isnt satisfied with plopping an easy vote on raven after case walling her here.
https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...72&postcount=7

I dont know if I am there on Mord, but I am running out of spaces for townies to be.
This spreads the aggression and the case makes sense from a not-me POV and some generics of what I also believe.
https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...74#post1739174

12 and 13 of that thread is the waterfall / continuing thoughts towntell from Guiri, which I should have noticed on the first pass. It indicates a seriousness of belief and a real time solving and processing and behaving indicative of natural townies.

https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...3&postcount=14
This also makes sense as a continuing solving process. Not only that, the push on silverjan reads as non-agendy assuming exactly Jan and Guiri are not a scum team together. It's a good nuance to pick up on, which scums tend to forget about.

34 again reads just fine and trying to solve for someones alignment by asking questions rather than being lazy and generic, particularly wrt the interactions with dizzy.

That is quite high level scum acting from guiri if it is.

36 is excellent. I can't get much from gnarlycharlie, still, but what stuff I was finding that was scummy about guiri is far more generic than the counterarguments I am able to generate on closer inspection and slower reading comprehension.

There are town tells in play here that indicate much more strongly against a Guiri vote today. Glad I rechecked all this, missed all of it on the first pass, looking for reasons to case Guiri.

Its hard to both attack and defend someone at the same time, you really have to shut off one to fairly do the other.

Respectfully, you are doing like, Calculus here. My brain flaked out around like Algebra II. Legit don't know why I need to know binomials and quadratic equations.

Like,


Am I supposed to be playing like this (Do we have a " gulp " emoji?)

And, for that matter..... That's great and all, but if you are Town, how far can we trust any of this? I guess that's what my last three posts have been getting at.


Damn, I can't even simplify my own equations here, much less groking others.
  #49  
Old 30th December 2021, 07:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Meeko View Post
...

And, for that matter..... That's great and all, but if you are Town, how far can we trust any of this? I guess that's what my last three posts have been getting at.

...
We can't trust any of this if he (or anyone) is Town because Town make mistakes ALL the time.

We also can't trust any of this if he (or anyone) is scum because, well, you know why.

We can build on what everyone says and trust our instincts.
  #50  
Old 30th December 2021, 08:16 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Meeko View Post
Am I supposed to be playing like this (Do we have a " gulp " emoji?)

Play to your strengths using the experience and skill set and memories and facts that you have. While you can learn from others methods, continue to rely on your own until you understand and can reproduce other methods, and even then, only if you find it useful.

I made a specific point in my guide of noting, there is no one correct way to play. While I have great success with my methods, others have success with theirs in ways I cannot duplicate because I am not skilled or experienced or naturally talented at those.

 

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