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#1
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I really did think AA was Town, just goes to show that I can't read people at all. I am curious as to how I could have been snuggling AA though, I thought that was something that scum did to Town. I was also wrong about Swammi. If Prof is lying to us then I will have to give up this game forever. I don't think he is lying because there wasn't a counter claim and why would scum take such a risk anyway, that wouldn't make sense.
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#2
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I find myself concerned about the extra wrap-up votes. Elves with 3 and Mariahs with 2 can seriously influence those.
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#3
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I've read the first two pages of Day 1. A lot of social interaction, meeko stuff, a weak push on Arch by Pleonast (that he admitted was weak), and Prof. claiming. The post by The Cat's Meow where they say they really like the Day's posting so far popped out because the ratio of game-related content to social interaction to that point was a lot lower than usual.
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#4
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In fact, the way I read it you thought that non-town was compelled to make an extra kill.
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#5
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Vanta's weak defense of summertime is troubling. I mean, if summertime is something you want to save, wouldn't you put up an argument for it?
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#6
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Quote:
I would vote out winter if I could! |
#7
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Quote:
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#8
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Let it snow
Let it snow Let it snow! |
#9
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gnarlycharlie is subbing in for guiri
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#10
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Welcome back gnarlycharlie. Hope all is well guiri.
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#11
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Anyone around this Tuesday evening?
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#13
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christmas sock/gnarlie - doesn't seem to have posted much to gain attention
lightfoot - lots of night time commentary, maybe struck a nerve swammer - bit of strange d1, no reason for scum to kill him, so probably the town vig. a reckless town vig is possibly more of a threat than the scum Profs claim as cop....if it's a lie, then in a straight town v scum game the real cop should claim and it's a fair trade; or the real cop investigates the fake claim, then claims the following day. In a three handed game, with godfathers, having a godfather fake claim a cop is a reasonable scum play, and a real town cop is more valueable in clearing others. For now, I'll take prof's claim with a pinch of salt - especially as the person he chose to investigate turned up dead...coincidence? SilverJan's snuggle of AA....if SJ is also a mariah, then probably the godfather, so protected by the mariah doc, so not a good target for the elf nk, or the vig. that said, the town vig taking a shot at jan to determine that, would have been a better play than swammer (assuming that was the vig target). vanta seems to be trying to get the bandwagon rolling against me - it's not day 3 yet! strike one of three mariahs seems linguistically correct, but you want to make an issue of it. and gnarlie is back after a quick change to be guiri |
#14
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Fiiiiiiive goooooooold RIIIIINGS!
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#15
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#16
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#17
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Quote:
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#18
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2 Turtle Doves!
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#19
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Did I place a vote on Bill? Nope I didn’t.
But no I won’t ever praise a BS vote as being Townsided regardless of the outcome of the vote. Bill is neutral at best.
__________________
The Dizziest Lizzy |
#20
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I would give Bill more Town cred if there was only one Town team because scum busing helped Town win the last game.
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#21
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Quote:
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#22
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Vote Count:
Quote:
Wow. I knew we were voting cautiously this Day, but I hadn't realized it was that cautious. RL/Health/Holidays have kept participation light, to the extent that even I wouldn't go after Yeet-the-Lurker toDay. |
#23
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15 active players. 27 hours left. We have 1 active vote. This is going to be a pretty exciting final 27 hours. Please make sure your votes are showing up in the vote counter with so many votes to come.
Quote:
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#24
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Jeez, yeah. Oof |
#25
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Quote:
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#26
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I can get behind this
I could also get behind a dizzy vote for similar reasons. She seems to be going out of her way to suggest that I am scum for voting AA but quite happy to assume the rest of the voters are town. |
#27
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Quote:
No that’s not at ALL what I said. I said voting AA wasn’t worthy of unequivocal Town Cred. But hey since you are skimming and now putting words in my mouth
__________________
The Dizziest Lizzy |
#28
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Quote:
Quote:
2) you are saying I led the charge on AA...with a 3rd vote?..skimming? |
#29
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Quote:
It was a discussion surrounding you being ultra clear and untouchable. I was simply saying you are NOT ultra clear, and reasons as to why you COULD be scum. But you are ridiculously defensive over it, making it more than it is. And continuing…. scummy.
__________________
The Dizziest Lizzy |
#30
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Quote:
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#31
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'cause I haven't change my mind from yesterDay. I will probably change it by EoD, 'cause I am concerned over the various Scum factions taking control of the 2nd & 3rd wraps. |
#32
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Because, it's either you or BC, and frankly, I am more sure that BC and I are town against town. Ultimately, OMGUS, tinged with skimming. That is to say, I think you aren't giving me enough credit given my improved play over the more recent games. I think you are manufacturing / mobilizing this, in militaristic sense. And, as I know what alignment I am, ... that does not bode well for you. At this point, any ""case"" as such I bring up, is going to be weak, but I don't let that sway my action. Others have said and used " Gut Reaction " here, and get away with far more. But, yes. A "smell". Faintly.
__________________
Twilight Sparkle: "You're a great friend even if we don't always understand you." Pinkie Pie: "Thanks, guys. You're all great friends, too, even when I don't understand me." |
#33
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Greetings.
Alright, let's do this. I will dump my mental state from the very, very undetailed skim I took of the game state already. Garbage dump: I saw a scummo got destroyed on the prior day by the flip, and then on day 2 I saw accusations regarding whether there was bussing, and potentially scummy reactions to that, and so forth. I think that's mainly the most interesting and possibly revealing behaviors that happened so far. Specifically generic and uncomplex thoughts that experience has shown me comes more from scums attempting to mirror town thoughts in a cookiecutter manner, while fitting their agenda. More than one name has popped up basing suspicions on that assumption already, and I will name those names when I have a minute. My thoughts on that skim were that 2 scum factions have in general possibly already gone to war with each other using their superior position of basically being vigilante-masons. This happens a lot in 3 way mafia games, as noted quite extensively in my guide section on multiball. Especially if there is already a situation of loss and distrust, and town hasn't lost their power roles yet, that's a terrible position to be in. On skim, Archangel was visibly scummy during her brief time here on day one. From the classics in terms of scumtells themselves, like "I agree" (a scumtell that has landed a hit 21 games in a row now) to the specifics of the case levied against her. Sometimes people just look scummy and people can see it. Doesn't make someone town for seeing it, since it is multiball. Scums are also hunting scums. Night kills will likely be hitting people the scums thought were 1) town power roles, 2) opposing scums, and 3) otherwise very dangerous townies, or people they thought they could never vote out due to looking villagery, which is less likely in multiball since villagery solving is also scummy here. The confirmable (?) town powers form basically a claimable masonry I think, and the multiple scum factions also form a hostile to each other masonry. So those are the biggest targets for everyone who can night kill. Which would be why everyone who died on n2 died. From every killer's perspective, those persons were almost always (1) or (2). Anyway. I think the time of the year plus the general lack of activity during this phase has led to a town without a strong lead or much in the way of general teamwork at the moment. So I will drop advice to townies who are baffled for a good move.
Okay. I will place a vote with reasons before I sleep, then I have work, and I won't be particularly active in the remaining hours before deadline. As such, I am making myself a strong candidate for a "follow me" voter today just to regain the initiative lost due to the inactivity of day 2. I won't be able to follow someone else at all unless they already voted, and I tend to get NKed so this is probably my only move this game. Let's see if I can convince myself it's good. |
#34
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The newbie-to-the-game leans on very limited reading:
So basically on a no read, no re-read, sideline skim of the game, those are the reads I got on instant recall once I knew my alignment. That means if my gut is worth a damn, which it isn't, my town team continues to contain roughly two inactives, possibly three give or take, depending on your definition of inactive. Voting once with a reason is fairly close to not teamwork friendly enough to be called "active". I also potentially have a workable town-team out of Pleonast, Meeko, Bashorian Clement, and Dizzymrslizzy, possibly with Singer involved if they can sign in and join ranks. Would I sell my soul that they are town? Nope. Contained within those names, I have historically unreadable, generically unreadable, extremely cunning scumbag by reputation when scumbag, and incomprehensible on my team, plus inactives. So those are my initial town guesses I'd not be willing to invest money in. That said, I kinda want to start with those as my not todays and look outside of those names for scums. If I keep finding townies and not scums, I will probably suggest uniting behind Dizzy today on the people she suspects. If I have a stronger alternative I will mention it and say the reasons but I need to specifically think Dizzy's targets are town not to follow her. Everything I do is time intensive and I gotta sleep in a few hours and then you won't be seeing me again, so I am thankful the game is a short read. Also, a tally is prudent, even though I know the vote count is super low still. Quote:
Voting History: post #70: Pleonast voted Gnarlycharlie post #103: Bashorian Clement voted Vanta Black post #107: BillMc voted Vanta Black post #113: Bashorian Clement unvoted Winner Of 1987 Indy 500 post #114: Vanta Black voted Annoying Christmas Singer post #116: Dizzymrslizzy voted Billmc post #118: Prof. Pepperwinkle voted Pleonast post #120: Meeko voted Billmc |
#35
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Of those voted, I have only the thinnest of arguments not to hit Singer and Pleonast.
I have no read of Guiri so thats next to see if I can concur with Pleo on something. It's sort of agree with Dizzy/Meeko and hit BillMc because historically what Bill did is scummy, and go all in, or provide counterwagon onto Vanta or Guiri/gnarly. I can see reasons for Vanta, but I need to check Guiri posts before I discount that third alternative. If my starting skim leans are anywhere near right, at least one scum should have a vote right now, and I want to assist. I do not think that's five townies being voted. |
#36
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Quote:
Damn I think we have mind melded. I am solid on Vanta as a second as well.
__________________
The Dizziest Lizzy |
#37
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Hm, the teal Don't Vote Today list doesn't agree with mine at all. It's almost the opposite. The exceptions are Dizzy and Meeko.
So that's suspicious. Oh. Hi Pizza! |
#38
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Quote:
How generic of you. Hello! |
#39
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Well as you may have noticed there is not so much of the game to read!
I will update my leans list shortly. I don't think we should triple-wrap toDay. I'm not even sure if we should double-wrap. It would be nice to knock off two scum but it would be disaster to knock off two town. |
#40
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If it is, that's unfortunate and a lot relies on night chess. In this setup, given these activity levels, even with the successful day one, this is probable to be town's last stand entirely or last stand before a LYLO where people don't trust anyone because it was one move to victory for scums and townies made it, and there's no reason to townclear anyone.
That's the outcome that compels me to really go offensive here and strike a scum out of those who can be struck, rather than further divide things. I also havent read enough of the game to do a full brute force solve. I'm like 10 days from doing a solve to that level, so it can't be me. Follower it is. |
#41
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Alright I see you online Dizzy. I have limited time remaining and watching the infant, so talk to me. I will refresh often.
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#42
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Quote:
Don’t wait up for me, my head is gobble gook tonight. Tomorrow is a new day
__________________
The Dizziest Lizzy |
#43
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Quote:
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#45
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Quote:
Really? We need to split the town vote? No we don't. We need one execution. The 3-man scum team can swing a vote if town is not well consolidated. Hell, the 2-man scum team could do it too under certain circumstances. |
#46
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That read on Guiri is difficult. Trying a second read.
What I am seeing that can just be normal Guiri but pings me is as follows: Note where his focus is, in his posts. Read all of them in chronological order. https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...97#post1738197 This is basically fluff. And it is post 57 of d1 so, who cares about that. Post 102 however is attempting to null multiple person's arguments, fluff, and mechanics. Thats an easy way to coast through the game without triggering alarm bells. So scums do this a lot. This and some others pinged me. https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...38#post1738338 https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...&postcount=164 This post looks solidly in villager range. There is some investigation, some clarification, some 'lack of TMI', and multiple aggressions. That's pretty concentrated villagery. 213 looks like the reading non-comprehension towntell from Silverjan, which is significant as it hasnt been wrong yet. https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...31#post1738631 216 looks villagery brainwave. https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...&postcount=218 218 is a good follow up to interrogative with Silverjan. Seems like he is trying to get answers and act on them during the round, rather than skate. So that, I take away more villagery than wolfy on the second pass. I see where there is generic and fluffy and skatey, but there are serious counterindicators. Checking d2 again. After the initial quoting of the vote tally, I see he does a multiquote wall of raven. Now, I disagree with the conclusion that any of that is out of sorts for raven. This is what I have come to expect from town raven, in several examples. People have real lives, and some players are not hardcore solvers, gotta solve every post as town, thats not how raven flies. So I take it as an easy case a scum can make, but Guiri isnt satisfied with plopping an easy vote on raven after case walling her here. https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...72&postcount=7 I dont know if I am there on Mord, but I am running out of spaces for townies to be. This spreads the aggression and the case makes sense from a not-me POV and some generics of what I also believe. https://www.giraffeboards.com/showth...74#post1739174 12 and 13 of that thread is the waterfall / continuing thoughts towntell from Guiri, which I should have noticed on the first pass. It indicates a seriousness of belief and a real time solving and processing and behaving indicative of natural townies. https://www.giraffeboards.com/showpo...3&postcount=14 This also makes sense as a continuing solving process. Not only that, the push on silverjan reads as non-agendy assuming exactly Jan and Guiri are not a scum team together. It's a good nuance to pick up on, which scums tend to forget about. 34 again reads just fine and trying to solve for someones alignment by asking questions rather than being lazy and generic, particularly wrt the interactions with dizzy. That is quite high level scum acting from guiri if it is. 36 is excellent. I can't get much from gnarlycharlie, still, but what stuff I was finding that was scummy about guiri is far more generic than the counterarguments I am able to generate on closer inspection and slower reading comprehension. There are town tells in play here that indicate much more strongly against a Guiri vote today. Glad I rechecked all this, missed all of it on the first pass, looking for reasons to case Guiri. Its hard to both attack and defend someone at the same time, you really have to shut off one to fairly do the other. |
#47
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Quote:
Like, ![]() Am I supposed to be playing like this (Do we have a " gulp " emoji?)
__________________
Twilight Sparkle: "You're a great friend even if we don't always understand you." Pinkie Pie: "Thanks, guys. You're all great friends, too, even when I don't understand me." |
#48
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Quote:
And, for that matter..... That's great and all, but if you are Town, how far can we trust any of this? I guess that's what my last three posts have been getting at. Damn, I can't even simplify my own equations here, much less groking others. |
#49
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Quote:
We also can't trust any of this if he (or anyone) is scum because, well, you know why. We can build on what everyone says and trust our instincts. |
#50
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Quote:
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