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  #1  
Old 24th March 2021, 11:14 AM
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Wheel of Life Mafia -- Sacred Fig Day Four

Silverjan dies.

Welcome to the newborn: Archangel, TexCat, sturmhauke.

Day will end Monday March 29.
  #2  
Old 24th March 2021, 11:27 AM
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Archangel, we really need you to be Town here and bluffing.
  #3  
Old 24th March 2021, 11:28 AM
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Hey guys! How's it going?
  #4  
Old 24th March 2021, 11:33 AM
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Glad to see you. Now will Archangel cooperate?
  #5  
Old 24th March 2021, 11:40 AM
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Can someone explain to me why I should believe AA is town? Is it all contingent on us believing Dead Cat?
  #6  
Old 24th March 2021, 11:45 AM
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We need her to be Town. I have played with the clever Archangel for many years and I am close to certain she is Town here in Fig.
  #7  
Old 24th March 2021, 11:52 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lion View Post
We need her to be Town. I have played with the clever Archangel for many years and I am close to certain she is Town here in Fig.
Just because you want something to be true does not make it true.

I think her "death" is just as likely a scum ploy as it is a coincidence that scum targeted her and she happened to transmigrate.

I'll just leave this here until I have reason to move it.

  #8  
Old 24th March 2021, 11:59 AM
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All I can tell you for certain is that Angel isn't Lotus scum.

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  #9  
Old 24th March 2021, 12:05 PM
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Um . . . .

Quote:
Originally Posted by Archangel View Post
Yes, Jan, I’m scum in fig. I was trying to be obscure about it but Dead Cat blew my cover.
  #10  
Old 24th March 2021, 12:12 PM
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I can't believe I almost forgot about Pizza!


I guess the scum are going to have to decide who they want to keep in the game.
  #11  
Old 24th March 2021, 12:40 PM
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@BillMc TCM seems to be sick. Regardless, if she had jumped also that would have left Lotus with no living scum until you and babale arrive, and then you would only be at two scum anyway. MHaye and I decided it was worth it for us to take the risk for ourselves, but all three was too much.

Now, for the scum here. Who's Fig scum, raise your hands? No? Ok well,





Hmm, this seems familiar for some reason...
  #12  
Old 24th March 2021, 01:03 PM
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One is enough for me.
  #13  
Old 24th March 2021, 01:05 PM
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Hey guys! I forgot about the game. Sorry. I started playing Oblivion on the xbox again and it has taking up all my time. I still need to catch up, but...




...seems to be a good place to start.
  #14  
Old 24th March 2021, 03:14 PM
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@LightFoot that's the plan, but it's not yet guaranteed. Which is why you should go be Mango scum. Right now you're a townie by yourself, but over there you can gain access to whatever plan they're cooking up in secret. Lotus will probably be sewn up soon; none of the currently known Fig scum can return there because we killed them/they left already, and of the few remaining potential Lotus players, one of them is Mahaloth. You leaving would not only shore up Mango, but also possibly let Lotus scum win faster which would free everyone up to go do other things elsewhere.
  #15  
Old 24th March 2021, 03:45 PM
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Here are my current reads, based on public knowledge, my Lotus scum knowledge, and some educated guesses.

Known Lotus scum: me (in Fig, dead in Lotus), MHaye (bound for Mango, dead in Lotus), TCM, Bill (inbound), babale (inbound). They can confirm after arrival by posting on the Lotus scum board, which I can read but not post on anymore.

Known Mango scum: LightFoot (fated for Mango), Dead Cat, Mahaloth

Known Fig scum: Archangel (dead in Lotus and Mango), TexCat (dead in Lotus and Mango), Pizza (dead in Lotus)

That leaves 5 players whose allegiance is not fully known to the public: Silverjan (dead Fig townie, which makes her a Lotus ally wherever she ends up), Lion (dead Mango townie, currently in Fig), raven (dead Lotus townie, currently in Mango), Faulkner (dead Lotus townie, currently in Fig)... and the big one, Squink, who is a giant question mark to everyone but herself and Fig scum.

I'm leaning Fig town on Squink and Lion, based on their reactions to Pizza's shenanigans, Fig scum on Faulkner for similar reasons and also for being conveniently absent at a critical time, Silverjan is known Fig town, and I don't have enough info on raven. @Dead Cat, @Mahaloth, can you confirm whether she is Mango scum?
  #16  
Old 24th March 2021, 04:11 PM
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Here:

Pizza - Scum
TexCat -Scum
Archangel -probably Scum
Snf - probably Scum


sturmhauke - Town
Lion - Town
Squink -probably Town.


We need Squink to be Town AND one of the probably Scums to be Town to get a correct execution toDay. Or, if Squink is Scum we need BOTH of the probably Scums to be Town.
  #17  
Old 24th March 2021, 04:48 PM
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Have no fears! I'm town here. Which means I'm scum in mango, which mahaloth & co seem to have a handle on.
  #18  
Old 24th March 2021, 04:51 PM
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What's the reasoning behind texcat being scum here? I fully admit to skimming so I'm sure I missed it.
  #19  
Old 24th March 2021, 04:57 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SNFaulkner View Post
What's the reasoning behind texcat being scum here? I fully admit to skimming so I'm sure I missed it.
Process of elimination. She wasn't Lotus or Fig scum.

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  #20  
Old 24th March 2021, 05:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sturmhauke View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by SNFaulkner View Post
What's the reasoning behind texcat being scum here? I fully admit to skimming so I'm sure I missed it.
Process of elimination. She wasn't Lotus or Fig scum.

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Ok, but in the vote count thread, she's not confirmed town in Lotus. Is that an oversight?
  #21  
Old 24th March 2021, 05:09 PM
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Oh, YOU, as scum, killed her...is that what I'm seeing?
  #22  
Old 24th March 2021, 05:17 PM
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She transmigrated out. I know she was town there because she never checked in on the scum thread.

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  #23  
Old 24th March 2021, 05:27 PM
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Ah yes, ok. I get it now. I confused myself. The death notification for the Day was in the Night thread. As it should be. It's almost like I forgot how to play.
  #24  
Old 24th March 2021, 05:32 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sturmhauke View Post
She transmigrated out. I know she was town there because she never checked in on the scum thread.

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How do you know she didn't check it? She may have and just not said anything as some sort of dodecahedral secret ploy...




Yeah, probably not.
  #25  
Old 24th March 2021, 08:54 PM
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@LightFoot there isn't anything useful you can do in Lotus.
calculator cheese sling
Maybe Mango scum have something you can do. At the very least you can talk strategy with them in private.
  #26  
Old 25th March 2021, 04:51 AM
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  #27  
Old 25th March 2021, 05:43 AM
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A loss is a loss is a loss. if you think there is a slim chance to win one way, and no chance to win another. Why would you not take the slim chance?

I think our Town chance here in Fig toDay is slim but real. If it does not pan out I gave it my best shot.

I will transmigrate to Lotus to save Lotus without a Town win because I do not believe in rolling over for other teams. You have to win honestly. But other than that, if there is the slimmest chance of a win here I am not moving voluntarily. Protect your Scum realm if there is really no hope elsewhere. But otherwise, why would you protect your loss?

Win here alone and you win nothing. If you succeed in killing Town toDay in Fig, so what? You have a game to win, not a realm. Is that the kind of game you play, pizza?
  #28  
Old 25th March 2021, 06:42 AM
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No one should be quitting right now.
  #29  
Old 25th March 2021, 06:45 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lion View Post
No one should be quitting right now.
Agreed. DeadCat is being quite the pessimist right now.
  #30  
Old 25th March 2021, 07:17 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Metallic Squink View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lion View Post
We need her to be Town. I have played with the clever Archangel for many years and I am close to certain she is Town here in Fig.
Just because you want something to be true does not make it true.

I think her "death" is just as likely a scum ploy as it is a coincidence that scum targeted her and she happened to transmigrate.

I'll just leave this here until I have reason to move it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Metallic Squink View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lion View Post
No one should be quitting right now.
Agreed. DeadCat is being quite the pessimist right now.
He’s pissed off at me because our plan in Mango didn’t work. Well, pissed off may be too harsh, but disappointed. I slipped, I take full responsibility for it, and apparently at least Lion noticed. That’s the real reason I was being so quiet in Mango.
  #31  
Old 25th March 2021, 07:35 AM
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Lion pays attention.

If Dead Cat really thought I was Scum here and Fig was a lost cause he would be trying to win in Lotus. He is not.

Wheels within wheels.
  #32  
Old 25th March 2021, 07:47 AM
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I will not concede at this time. There is the possibility that LightFoot is secretly Fig scum, and left under cover of night after Pizza arrived on Day 2 in an attempt to create confusion and try for a win in the other worlds, or at least stall things. It would explain why LightFoot refuses to move along to help Mango.
  #33  
Old 25th March 2021, 07:52 AM
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Scum may win all three realms or they may not. But I am for taking whatever chances there are. I cannot say it more plainly than that.
  #34  
Old 25th March 2021, 07:56 AM
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Fig scum deciding not to kill anyone Night 1 isn't an optimal play by game theory. But if this game has any similarity to the Prisoner's Dilemma, it's that the theoretical optimal play isn't always the best play. People are driven by emotion more than by logic, and the original ancestor Mafia game was invented by a psychologist.

Bill's sudoku table, my own spreadsheet that I'm keeping, the vote records - those are all important tools, but they aren't the only thing. This isn't sudoku, or chess, it's poker. And I'm gonna force people to show their hands any way I can.
  #35  
Old 25th March 2021, 08:02 AM
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  #36  
Old 25th March 2021, 08:16 AM
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@Pleonast seems to me the rules on scum kills mean that only scum currently living in a world can issue night kill orders for that world. Is that correct?
  #37  
Old 25th March 2021, 08:23 AM
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@Silverjan it is also still possible that there really were no Fig scum yet on Day 1. Unlikely, but we can't rule it out.
  #38  
Old 25th March 2021, 08:39 AM
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  #39  
Old 25th March 2021, 08:43 AM
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Weird how pizza has suddenly found nothing to say. I hope he is ok.
  #40  
Old 25th March 2021, 10:31 AM
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I think this is the current vote count, in tiebreak order:

Askthepizzaguy: 5 (Squink, sturm, Lion, Faulkner, Angel)
Archangel: 3 (Squink, sturm, Faulkner)
Texcat: 3 (sturm, Faulkner, Angel)
SNFaulkner: 1 (Texcat, Angel)
Lion: 1 (Texcat)
sturmhauke: 1 (Texcat)
  #41  
Old 25th March 2021, 12:49 PM
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Oh howdy gais

I think I need to yeet a Rocket Surgeon!

Vote: Sturmhauke

Have a good trip, YEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEET
  #42  
Old 25th March 2021, 12:51 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pleonast View Post
Silverjan dies.

Welcome to the newborn: Archangel, TexCat, sturmhauke.

Day will end Monday March 29.
Monday, eh? Got enough time to yeet a townie by then.

Bye, Jan.

Hi Archangel. Hi TexCat. Bye Sturmhauke.

Enjoy the delicious taste of Mango salsa!
  #43  
Old 25th March 2021, 01:00 PM
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I ate pizza for a snack, I'll eat you for dinner.

Wait, that came out wrong. Whatever, bring it.
  #44  
Old 25th March 2021, 01:44 PM
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I keep rephrasing my post, but let me try brevity for a change.

1) I acknowledge the bravery and bold risk taking done by Lotus. This breaks the Mexican standoff.

2) I've never broken an alliance in 12 years of play. It's not my style.

3) Lotus moving first eliminates the trust factor. In case Lotus folks care, that was the only thing holding me back because your faction would have been bigger than ours and any betrayal on your part would have meant we lose immediately.

4) everything I just said came from me, let me talk things out with my team. I have been incommunicado for a few days, so I need to be sure we're all on the same page.

But I didn't want to waste time, monday is several days off. Just letting you know, if there is an avenue of victory not closed off, I'd go on an adventure too.

If there is no avenue of victory for anyone anywhere, then yay draw. We did it. We didn't lose outright, woot.
  #45  
Old 25th March 2021, 01:46 PM
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I spent the past 45 minutes rewriting that same post.

Just letting you guys know, I admire the move, and I'm not a jerk. This is sorta what I've been working towards since seeing that Lotus was unwinnable and also the largest scum faction.

And I denied as much information and manpower to Mango as possible.
  #46  
Old 25th March 2021, 01:51 PM
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This was in some version, but scum in Fig do control the vote today.

There was a purpose in information denial the past couple days, but I won't jerk you around like that as it relates to what is and isnt possible for you.
  #47  
Old 25th March 2021, 02:03 PM
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I did spend a lot of time running the numbers as pertains to Fig, and it's we can't be defeated because it took too much time for people to arrive here.

Calling TexCat over sealed it, that's why I outed.

It's not possible for town to win in Fig because of the staggered arrivals and we can yeet and kill in the meanwhile.
  #48  
Old 25th March 2021, 02:09 PM
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I'll check in daily from here on out until round ends. Sorry for delays.
  #49  
Old 25th March 2021, 02:19 PM
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I will not concede until at absolute minimum the end of the day here.
  #50  
Old 25th March 2021, 02:40 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sturmhauke View Post
I will not concede until at absolute minimum the end of the day here.
Ofc.

I believe there have been enough mind games going on in this thread that it's sort of a see it to believe it kind of deal.

To be very fair, I've been away, and I didnt know if TexCat would get here in time, so until now, there's been a need to deny information. And I've been absent so you never know, I might not have voted.

I don't think there's a need to deny info anymore, we're past that stage of the game. It's either a win is possible or it isn't.

But that's a team decision I can't make it on my own.
 


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