Felt vs. MC: Day 1 Thread

[Zeener Diode]

Question: who stands to lose the most if no one is lynched toDay? Town or Scum?

[peekercpa]

Originally Posted by Zeener Diode

Question: who stands to lose the most if no one is lynched toDay? Town or Scum?

town.

[Total Ulla]

Originally Posted by peekercpa

town.

No doubt. Even if we were to lynch a townie (and though it's the odds that we might but it doesn't have to be so!) we will then have knowledge from the lynch as well as data from the votes.
Even if some bank their vote I'd be most interested in hearing who they find the most scummy and therefore I don't think we should allow the "bankers" to finish a Day without having voiced who they would have voted for if they hadn't banked their vote.

But a no lynch would only hurt Town.
It would be similar to having Scum start the game with a NK (sometimes happens in games with a Night 0).

[peekercpa]

Originally Posted by Total Ulla

But a no lynch would only hurt Town.
It would be similar to having Scum start the game with a NK (sometimes happens in games with a Night 0).

ding ding ding we have a winner.

and for the folks that whine about Day 1 and all that hogwash "because i don't know" or the "odds are against us poor townies", etc. just get over it.

[BobArrgh]

I'm following along, but just barely. I've had some major work issues going on this past week.

@ peeker: You threw me for a loop there, when you voted for Pinkies.

@ Ulla: I'm really trying to understand this statement you made:

Originally Posted by Total Ulla

But a no lynch would only hurt Town.
It would be similar to having Scum start the game with a NK (sometimes happens in games with a Night 0).

Can someone please tell me why a no-lynch would only hurt Town? Wouldn't avoiding a mislynch on Day 1 be good for Town?

Is the absence of a decent voting record on Day 1 what hurts Town?

[peekercpa]

Originally Posted by BobArrgh

I'm following along, but just barely. I've had some major work issues going on this past week.

@ peeker: You threw me for a loop there, when you voted for Pinkies.

@ Ulla: I'm really trying to understand this statement you made:

Can someone please tell me why a no-lynch would only hurt Town? Wouldn't avoiding a mislynch on Day 1 be good for Town?

Is the absence of a decent voting record on Day 1 what hurts Town?

well as ulla points out no lynch effectively is a Night start with some information. scum get a free ride and effectively town starts Day 2 knowing that at best they will be down a soul (i mean funky stuff happens but really that's the most likely occurrence). additionally, if we were to wait until the odds shift in town's favor based purely on percentages then that means scum have already won (i mean for the odds to favor a scum lynch there needs to be more of them than town). that's why town needs additional help. that information typically comes from votes but more importantly the information/logic/reasoning regarding how they came up with that vote. i mean there are folks that look heavily at voting patterns and what not but i like to dig down to why folks are voting the way they are. and what funky ass statements they make in arriving at their conclusion.

[SisterCoyote]

Originally Posted by peekercpa

town.

Town always loses the most when no information is gained. Scum have the critical information: who is Scum, who is Town, while Town -- especially on Day One -- are generally muddling along in the dark.

Also, Zuma, your icon makes me want to run a Murder by Death-themed game.